REAL TIME NEWS
The Fed did not endorse the overly optimistic market expectations during its September meeting, which contributed to the USD regaining some strength across the board. The lingering question is whether the FOMC's resistance will be enough to enable the currency... The Fed did not endorse the overly optimistic market expectations during its September meeting, which contributed to the USD regaining some strength a
Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global stock surge encountered a setback following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) announcement to start liquidating its subst... Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global sto
USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now around 2% higher. The fallout from the FOMC has left USD bears a little underwhelmed. While the Fed cut rates as expe... USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now ar
Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the 1... Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resi
TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 3,617.21, a pullback support tha... TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback res
TitleNZDUSD H4 I | Potential bearish reversal TypeBearish reversalPreference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5914, an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the 1st... TitleNZDUSD H4 I | Potential bearish reversal TypeBearish reversalPreference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5914, an overlap resistance t
BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. While rates were held unchanged as expected, two dissenting votes in favour of further tightening revealed growing haw... BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. Whi
Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit was seen ballooning last month, with public sector net borrowing hitting £18 billion. This marked the highest leve... Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6625/15WEEKLY RANGE RES 6710 SUP 6570SEP MOPEX STRADDLE - 6260/6639SEP EOM STRADDLE - 6282/6638DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 6... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 66
TitleUSDJPY H4 I Bullish bounce setupTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 147.05, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1st resis... TitleUSDJPY H4 I Bullish bounce setupTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 147.05, which is a pullback support that

Investment Bank Outlook

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 19/9/25

The Fed did not endorse the overly optimistic market expectations during its September meeting, which contributed to the USD regaining some strength across the board. The lingering question is whether...

Institutional Insights: UBS Silver Strategy

Silver has exceeded the USD 42/oz level, reaching a 14-year peak, bolstered by record gold prices and significant investment inflows, even amid a dip in global industrial activity. •We have updated...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan Trading The FED

JPMorgan´s Feroli anticipates a 25bps rate cut, with 2-3 potential dissenters favoring at least a 50bps reduction. He expects three consecutive cuts between October 2025 and January 2026. According to...

Institutional Insights: BNPP Trading The FOMC

Key Messages - Ahead of this week’s FOMC meeting, we recommend taking profits on USD shorts, as we anticipate potential for a near-term counter-trend rally. US equities appear vulnerable to a...

Institutional Insight: Goldman Sachs US Weekly Kick Start 15/9/25

The S&P 500 is approaching a record high, despite signs of a weakening labor market. Job growth has decelerated significantly, dropping from 158,000 in April to just 22,000 in August. In contrast,...

Institutional Insights: Nomura Cross Asset Views 11/09/25

Equities Index Skew remains notably steep due to elevated positioning and net exposure relative to the past year, necessitating downside hedging—particularly in MegaCap Tech and Mag-X. This comes amid...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan FX Sales & Trading Desk Views

Looking at the recent response of the USD to Friday's NFP figures and the BLS revisions from yesterday, it's clear that while the USD has decreased, the response has been somewhat subdued....

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank - Dollar Flow Update

We previously discussed our broad perspectives as we approach year-end a few days ago: the US is currently experiencing a dual negative demand shock (from tariffs) and a supply shock (due to...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Trade Desk Views on Gold

Goldman Sachs -Desk Thoughts:- As anticipated, following Trump’s comments on August 12th, gold will not be subject to tariffs.- The EFP strength to +$20/oz (December matched) likely stemmed from...