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Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global stock surge encountered a setback following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) announcement to start liquidating its subst... Daily Market Outlook, September 19, 2025 Patrick Munnelly, Partner: Market Strategy, Tickmill GroupMunnelly’s Macro Minute…A record-setting global sto
USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now around 2% higher. The fallout from the FOMC has left USD bears a little underwhelmed. While the Fed cut rates as expe... USD Bounce ContinuesThe Dollar continues to grind higher as we push towards the weekend. DXY has rebounded firmly off the post-FOMC lows and is now ar
Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the 1... Title GBPUSD H4 I Bearish reversal off major resistanceTypeBearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3585, a pullback resi
TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback resistance. A reversal from this level could lead the price toward the 1st support at 3,617.21, a pullback support tha... TitleXAUUSD H1 | Bearish momentum to extend Type Bearish reversalPreference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 3,661.69, which is a pullback res
TitleNZDUSD H4 I | Potential bearish reversal TypeBearish reversalPreference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5914, an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal at this level could lead the price toward the 1st... TitleNZDUSD H4 I | Potential bearish reversal TypeBearish reversalPreference: The price is rising towards the pivot at 0.5914, an overlap resistance t
BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. While rates were held unchanged as expected, two dissenting votes in favour of further tightening revealed growing haw... BOJ Holds RatesThe September BOJ meeting overnight threw up some surprises with the bank seen taking a more hawkish tone than many were expecting. Whi
Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit was seen ballooning last month, with public sector net borrowing hitting £18 billion. This marked the highest leve... Pound Under PressureGBPUSD is reversing hard ahead of the weekend as the latest UK economic data caused concern among investors. The UK budget deficit
SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 6625/15WEEKLY RANGE RES 6710 SUP 6570SEP MOPEX STRADDLE - 6260/6639SEP EOM STRADDLE - 6282/6638DAILY BULL BEAR ZONE 6... SP500 LDN TRADING UPDATE 19/9/25 WEEKLY & DAILY LEVELS ***QUOTING ES1! CASH US500 EQUIVALENT LEVELS SUBTRACT ~61 POINTS***WEEKLY BULL BEAR ZONE 66
TitleUSDJPY H4 I Bullish bounce setupTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 147.05, which is a pullback support that is slightly above the 50% Fibonacci retracement. A bounce from this level could lead the price toward the 1st resis... TitleUSDJPY H4 I Bullish bounce setupTypeBullish bounce Preference:The price is falling towards the pivot at 147.05, which is a pullback support that
TitleUSDCAD H4 I Bearish reversal at 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceTypeBearish reversal Preference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3791, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. A reversal from this level could lead th... TitleUSDCAD H4 I Bearish reversal at 38.2% Fibonacci resistanceTypeBearish reversal Preference:The price is rising towards the pivot at 1.3791, which

Market Insight

Institutional Insights: Credit Agricole FX Weekly 16/05/25

90 days to save the world (and the USD)Since last November, FX investors have shifted from fully endorsing US exceptionalism to cautiously testing an almost universal "sell America" trade,...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs Flow of Funds: Pulse Check

GS Flow of Funds: Pulse Check FICC and Equities | 14 May 2025 | Not Zac Efron, but the VIX was 17 Again April showers bring May volatility collapse—opportunities to roll hedges and add exposure?...

FX Options Insights 15/05/25

FX Options InsightsFX hedging possibilities have become increasingly appealing as the overall implied volatility of FX options has decreased from the significant increase seen after the U.S. tariff...

Institutional Insights: JPMorgan - Retail Radar Buy the Dip” Mentality Paid Off

Overview – Retail TradingRetail Order Imbalance - Retail traders have net purchased $50 billion in cash equities since the market's rebound on April 8. However, profit-taking emerged this...

FX Options Insights 14/05/25

FX Options InsightsAt the start of the week, the sharp drop in FX volatility and USD put risk premiums appeared overstated, as a recovery began even before Wednesday's uptick. Positive news from...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs SP500 Positioning & Key Levels 13/05/25

Equity Positioning and Key Levels FICC and Equities | 12 May 2025 | Below is a recap of the GS positioning metrics:Summary: 1. CTA Corner: The systematic macro community has slightly increased...

Institutional Insights: Goldman Sachs CPI Preview 13/05/25

CPI Preview From GS Research: We anticipate a 0.30% rise in April's core CPI, aligning with the consensus of +0.3%, leading to a year-over-year rate of 2.83%, slightly above the consensus of...

DXY, AMZN, BABA, AAPL & NVDA Daily Trade Setups

DXY, AMZN, BABA, AAPL & NVDA Daily Trade SetupsIn this update, we review the recent price action in the Dollar Index, Amazon, Alibaba, Apple, and Nvidia and identify the next high-probability...

Institutional Insights: Deutsche Bank Investor Flows & Positioning 12/05/25

Deutsche Bank Investor Flows & PositioningAs volatility declines, systematic strategy positioning has been steadily increasing; however, overall positioning still remains low. Following the...