Fundamental Analysis

EU yield outlook improves on hawkish ECB, the odds of Fed Pivot grow on dovish retail sales surprise

The key question ahead of today’s ECB policy meeting was whether the bank would opt for a large rate hike with a dovish statement or deliver modest tightening policies while retaining a hawkish...

The Crude Chronicles - Episode 167

Oil Traders Cut Longs AgainThe latest CFTC COT institutional positioning report shows that crude traders cut their net long positions once again last week. Total upside exposure now sits at 232k...

Staying Hawkish may Become too Difficult and Costly for the Fed after the CPI Release

A softer-than-expected US CPI for November has made the job more difficult for the Fed, in the sense that it will be increasingly difficult to justify further rate hikes. Nevertheless, Powell is...

US & UK Inflation Falls - GBPUSD Traders Await the Fed

US Inflation Cools FurtherThe peak inflation narrative has been given a further boost this week with the latest US and UK inflation data showing a cooling of consumer prices in both economies. In the...

FOMC Meeting Preview: Dovish Dreams may not Come True

The Fed is expected to deliver a 50 bp rate hike on December 14, continuing to meticulously dampen inflation pressure in the economy. However, the chances of a recession that markets price in continue...

Precious Metals Monday 12-12-2022

Metals Markets Await US CPI & FedFollowing the rallies we’ve seen over the last month or so, both gold and metal look hungry to break out here. Both metals have seen choppier action in recent...

FOMO Friday: Crude Collapses

Oil SlumpsAs something of a topsy-turvy week comes to a close in financial markets, traders are of course looking ahead to next week. The December FOMC meeting is drawing evermore attention and with...

Key events and economic reports for the week ahead

There will be plenty of fundamental events next week that promise extremely high volatility in FX and equity markets and will possibly lead to emergence of market trends that will span into the new...

SPX Poised to Escape Major Bearish Trend and the Fed may be a Catalyst

Risk assets rallied after US jobless claims data pointed to decreasing strength of the US labor market. Labor market imbalances are now the key driver of inflation (through the impact of wages on...